In another turn of events since the military coup in Mali in late March, the junta leader – Capt. Amadou Sanogo – has agreed to allow the interim president, Dioncounda Traoré, to remain in office for the next 12 months, until a presidential election can be organized next year. The agreement was decided upon following a susbtantial ECOWAS mediation, led by Ivoirian president Alassane Ouattara. As part of the agreement, Sanogo de facto receives the status of former head of state – with all the benefits it comes with.
Ongoing tensions have been felt in Mali since the beginning of the crisis in March. The lack of consensus around how to bring democracy and constitutional rule to the country makes it very difficult for anyone to govern, and pushes Mali closer to the brink. With two thirds of its territory occupied by various rebel groups, a growing displacement problem and an alarming food security situation, the country is in desperate need of real leadership.
The involvement of ECOWAS has been a divisive issue, and produced mixed results. As one of the founding members of ECOWAS, it seems both understandable and desirable that the regional organization would agree to send troops to protect the territorial integrity of the state, and actively facilitate agreements between the various factions. At the same time, there are concerns about the legitimacy and widosm of ECOWAS decisions. If an ECOWAS-mediated agreement fuels further unrest – social and political – and deepens the crisis, then it hasn’t struck the necessary equilibrium between preserving stability and dealing meaningfully with grievances.